Monday, September 8, 2008

TIME TO TAKE THE GLOVES OFF WITH THE BIBLE THUMPERS

BIBLE THUMPERS REJUVENATE THE REPUBLICAN PARTY,CAN WE TAKE 4 MORE YEARS OF BUSH POLICIES AND THUMPER LOVE?
***** GOOD MORNING FLINT! 9/8/09 By Terry Bankert http://goodmorningflint.blogspot.com/ Longer article with citations or http://flinttalk.com/viewtopic.php?p=35564http://flinttalk.com/viewtopic.php?p=35647#35647
* * * * * REFLECTIONS:
Bible thumpers are fair game in this election. They put themselves forward politically. They are an identifiable constituency that intends to elect a president that will promote their position on national issues. That is their right. It is our right to defeat them. We should take the gloves off. They are not involved in a political debate. They are in a war to impose their view of the world on us. Palin ,a self described agent of GOD, intends to make her theological conservatism your new law when she is elected. What are you going to do today to defend Democratic values and our countries founding principals of the Separation of Church and State. Take one action today to support the Obama/Biden ticket.
* * * * *
As the remarkable two-week stretch of back-to-back presidential nomination conventions ends, a weekend USA Today/Gallup Poll finds that the John McCain-Sarah Palin ticket has more than matched the Barack Obama-Joe Biden ticket's convention bounce of last week with a "rebound" bounce, and in the immediate aftermath of the GOP convention McCain and Palin now have a slight edge over their opponents.[1]
HIGHLY RELIGIOUS WHITE VOTERS, BIBLE THUMPERS ,ARE ON A MISSION FROM AND INTEND TO WIN A WAR FOR THEIR GUY TO IMPOSE THEIR VERSION OF A BOOK ON YOU.
John McCain has led Barack Obama all summer among highly religious white voters and continues to do so in the first three days of September, with no sign of change coincident with the selection of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his vice-presidential running mate[1]

THE RACE WAS DEAD EVEN BEFORE THE CONVENTIONS
The presidential race was dead even at 45% to 45% among registered voters in Gallup tracking conducted prior to the Democratic convention. Then, by the USA Today/Gallup Poll conducted in the first few days after the Democratic convention (and also after McCain had made his announcement of Sarah Palin as his running mate), Obama had moved ahead by a 47% to 43% margin. (In Gallup Poll Daily tracking extending into the beginning of last week, Obama reached a point where he had 50% of the vote and an eight percentage point lead.) Obama's lead has now disappeared totally, and McCain sits on a 4-point advantage among registered voters in the Friday through Sunday poll. That's the largest advantage for McCain in either USA Today/Gallup Polls or Gallup Poll Daily tracking since May.[1]
MCCAIN LOSES ON THE SECULAR ISSUES BUT IS AHEAD WITH THE HELP OF SINGLE ISSUE , PROLIFE, TAKE NO PRISONERS, ACCEPT NO COMPROMISE NARROWLY FOCUSED THUMPERS.
Obama ridiculed McCain's promise of change and hammered the Arizona senator on the limping US economy, saying the Republican represented no change from Bush.[4]
"John McCain, who is a good man and has a compelling biography, has embraced and adopted the George Bush economic platform," Obama said on ABC television.[4]

GODS AGENT ON EARTH, PALIN, INTENDS TO MAKE HER THEOLOGICAL CONSERVATISM YOUR NEW LAWS.
The convention and/or McCain's selection of Sarah Palin as his vice presidential running mate not only had the effect of moving the horse-race needle in McCain's direction, but also increased several measures of enthusiasm for the GOP.[1]
EVEN AFTER THE GLASS CEILING IS BROKEN, SHE IS DEFENDED BY THE GENTLEMENS CODE.( Not to Criticize a woman) HER CORE CONSTITUENCY IS FAIR GAME.
The Democrats have had a hard time targeting Palin, who is popular among conservatives and has garnered public sympathy in the wake of the media's response to news that her 17-year-old daughter was pregnant and planned to keep the baby.[4]


THE REPUBLICANS ARE NOW AS ENTHUSIASTIC AS A TENT FULL OF COUNTRY EVANGELICALS, Hightly Motivated White Non-Hispanics (hwwnhv), THUMPING THEIR WAY BACK TO THE WHITE HOUSE FOR ANOTHER 16YEARS(8 McCain, 8 Palin)
There has been a very substantial jump in the percentage of Republicans saying they are more enthusiastic about voting in this election, from 42% a week ago (after the Democratic convention, but before the Republican convention) to 60% today. Democrats still retain a slight lead on this measure, having increased their enthusiasm slightly this last week as well. But the enthusiasm gap, which has been so much a part of the story of the presidential election so far this year, has dwindled from 19 points in the Democrats' favor a week ago to only seven points today.[1]
WHO ARE THE THUMPERS,(hmwnh)
About 33% of non-Hispanic white registered voters are weekly church attenders, and the data make it clear that this group forms one of Republican McCain's key constituencies.[2]
The more than 2-to-1 support levels for McCain among this group have been remarkably consistent all summer. Much attention was paid to the possibility that the choice of Palin would help boost McCain's support even further among this group. That may happen in the days to come, but interviewing conducted during the first three days of the Republican National Convention -- Monday through Wednesday -- suggests little change in support patterns among highly religious white voters compared to previous weeks. These religious voters remain about as supportive of McCain as they have been. (These data were mostly collected before Pain's speech on Wednesday night; any impact from that speech will not be apparent for several days.)[2]
A BREECH IN THE WALL TO BE EXPLOITED
McCain also has the support of the smaller group of about 19% of white registered voters who attend church nearly weekly or monthly, but by a somewhat smaller margin. There has been a little more variation in support levels among this group as the summer has progressed, including a slight shift toward Obama in the Sept. 1-3 data.[2]
DEM ID/GOTV: THOSE WHO ARE HOME ON SUNDAY

Finally, there is a distinctly different pattern of candidate support evident among white voters who report seldom or never attending church[2]

This large group -- about 47% of the white registered voter population -- skews toward Obama by a 12-point margin in the last week of August and in the first three days of September. Again, there has been little substantive change in these voter support patterns all summer.[2]

BEFORE THE PAIN BOUNCE HERE IS WHAT THE NUMBERS SAID
Overall, in the first three days of September, McCain is winning over Obama among all non-Hispanic white registered voters by a 49% to 41% margin. This lead is based on the fact that his margin among the slightly more than half of all whites who attend church at least monthly is more than enough to compensate for his deficit among those who seldom or never attend church.[2]
From a larger perspective, Obama has an overall lead of 7 points over McCain for Sept. 1-3. The Democratic nominee's support among nonwhites (including blacks, Hispanics, and Asians) is so strong that when averaged in with white voters, he comes out on top.[2]
McCain has seen no immediate increase in support among highly religious white voters after his selection of Pain as his vice-presidential running mate. McCain has been ahead of Obama by better than a 2-to-1 margin among this group all summer, and that margin continues more or less unchanged in the first three days of September through Wednesday night. Meanwhile, Obama continues to dominate McCain among white voters who seldom or never attend church.[2]
THE THUMPER BOUNCE HAS PUT MCCAIN AHEAD. TOO EARLY TO TELL IF THIS IS PERMANENT OR TEMPORARY
Also, the selection of Pain may serve the function of manifesting a change in enthusiasm and turnout propensity among various subgroups of voters. That is, highly religious white voters could now become more motivated than they have been in their support for the GOP ticket, and could therefore increase McCain's overall total vote count on Election Day. By the same token, the selection of Pain may generate increased enthusiasm among Obama's less religious supporters who likely disagree with her conservative views on social issues. All of this will be sorted out as Gallup continues to analyze data over the next several days.[2]
The new poll, taken Friday though Sunday, shows McCain leading Obama by 54 percent to 44 percent among people most likely to vote and was conducted among 1,022 adults, including 959 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 points for both samples, the newspaper said. [3]

News that the Gallup daily tracking poll shows John McCain with a 3-point lead over Barack Obama nationally may make Obama supporters panic. Relax, folks. This is almost entirely meaningless at this point for two primary reasons:First, because it’s a national poll and national polls just don’t matter much. Our elections are decided by the electoral college, not by national referendum. It is the state-by-state polls that matter as an indicator of what will happen on election day.[5]
Second, because even if national polls did matter, this is a normal post-convention bounce that won’t last. Obama got his bounce last week, when the same Gallup tracking poll showed him with a 7-point lead. That should tell you how shallow such a swing is and why it is entirely transient.[5]


Obama's running mate Senator Joseph Biden called McCain's commitment to change "malarkey."[4]
"Tell me one single thing they're going to do on the economy, foreign policy, taxes, that is going to be change," Biden said on NBC.[4]


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[1]
http://www.gallup.com/poll/110107/Republicans-Enthusiasm-Jumps-After-Convention.aspx

[2]
http://www.gallup.com/poll/110053/Religion-Remains-Major-Dividing-Factor-Among-White-Voters.aspx

[3]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aHBx.Y8FBBoc&refer=home

[4]
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5hGnT3eaGxBfZmomXn79E2tdvisoA

[5]
http://www.michiganmessenger.com/3950/mccain-gets-bounce-no-one-should-panic-or-party

Posted here 9/6/08 by Terry Bankert http://attorneybankert.com/ 90884/17779

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